War on Caterpillars? Is the RNC in Wonderland?

There you are, working as the social media manager at a construction equipment manufacturer, and suddenly your name shows up all over the place on Twitter:

Caterpillar becomes a more popular term on Twitter

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Backhoe explode? Bad lawsuit?

Nope, the head of the Republican National Committee has compared women to caterpillars and presumably not the ones that run on diesel…

Caterpillar from Alice in Wonderland

Sure, start a war on caterpillars because they smoke? That’s not very Republican…

Since not many caterpillars are on twitter, I think it’s safe to say that there’s a building anger among women (and gentlemen of honor) at the remark.

Both caterpillars and women can be forgiven for thinking they’ve landed in a bad republican wonderland.  Hmmmm … Santorum as the red queen?  Romney as the march hare? He does seem a bit like that, you’d have to admit.

 

Twitter turns to the race between Romney and Obama. Or does it?

With Romney’s wins in the three primaries this week, he has moved from being the favored  candidate to the presumptive winner.  And, recognizing that, Mitt’s turned his attention to Obama.  Santorum who? Newt what?

So has Twitter made the big turn with him? Or is Twitter even paying attention to him yet?  I set out to see how Obama and Romney are doing in the Twitterverse.  I reviewed nearly 200,000 recent tweets — all of which occurred after the primaries and the anointing of Mitt.

Let’s start with the most interesting — how’s Romney’s presence on Twitter compare to the President’s?

Tweets mentioning Romney vs. Obama

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Romney’s way behind the President in Twitter mentions by over 3 to 1!  Even if half of the Obama mentions are just conservatives complaining about the President, it still means that Obama is the focus of the race, not Romney.  That can’t be good.

How does Romney do against his primary competition? After all, since he’s been anointed the winner, mentions of Santorum and Gingrich must be non-existent, right?

Romeny vs. the other GOP candidates

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This one is looking much better for Mitt: his GOP competitors are not being mentioned in the same tweets as he is much any more.

So if attention is moving away from the other GOP contenders, it must be switching to discussion of possible VP picks.  Who’s twitter most excited about?

Possible VP picks for Romney, as mentioned by Twitter

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Looks like Romney and Ryan are all the talk these days! We’ll see how that changes over time as the Wisconsin primary — Paul Ryan’s home state — fades into history.

Let’s look at what hashtags has everyone excited in the Romney and Obama tweets:

Romney

Obama

Total Uses Hashtag total hashtag
2540 #Romney 9098 #tcot
1738 #tcot 7032 #Obama
926 #GOP 2551 #p2
846 #newbedon 2033 #teaparty
758 #p2 1858 #gop
616 #mitt2012 1590 #tlot
476 #teaparty 980 #obama2012
366 #Santorum 955 #OBAMArevivingSOPA
286 #news 921 #scotus
264 #tlot 916 #news
262 #WithNewt 850 #ocra
248 #Politics 769 #SGP
202 #ronpaul 686 #progress
193 #gop2012 614 #JOBSAct
182 #mittromney 541 #Politics
174 #Romney’s 532 #Obama’s
166 #OWS 531 #Obamacare
166 #Mitt 394 #USA
162 #edshow 381 #CNN
144 #250gas 380 #vettheprez
125 #pagop 355 #twisters
122 #waronwomen 346 #jobs
113 #PA 332 #OWS
112 #2012 328 #WorldBank
98 #maddow 327 #NOI
98 #tiot 280 #TPP
88 #Newt 278 #NOBAMA
82 #LenoMono 277 #withNewt
81 #pennsylvania 266 #trayvon
80 #FAIL 265 #newbedon

It’s interesting to see #tcot at the top of the Obama tags, since that’s Top Conservatives on Twitter. I have to assume that a lot of the tweets just on the topic of Obama are not favorable ones.  Or maybe they’re liberals sticking their tongues out at conservatives? That’s a question for another day.

One thing I’m always interested in is what software people are using to post their tweets.  Here’s the top 10 clients (and their % of usage) for people who tweeted about Romney and Obama:

Obama Romney
27% Web 21% Web
12% Tweet Button 7% TweetDeck
9% Twitterfeed 7% Twitterfeed
6% Twitter for iPhone 7% Tweet Button
5% Tweetdeck 4% Twitter for iPhone
3% Hootsuite 3% HootSuite
3% Twitter for Android 2% dlvr.it
2% dlvr.it 2% Twitter for Android
2% Twitter for Blackberry 1% Facebook
2% Echofon 1% Twitter for Blackberry

Not a lot of difference.  The 3% who are using Hootsuite have more than a casual interest in the topic since they’re using professional grade software.  The 5% to 7% who are using TweetDeck are “semi-pro” — you have to be at least a bit serious about Twitter to use it.  And I find it interesting that the iPhone gets used twice as often as Android … one thing both democrats and republicans agree upon, it seems, is that the iPhone is better than Android!

It’s interesting to see what words are most associated with Romney and Obama.  Here’s the top 30 (minus stop words):

Words about Romney Words about Obama
total word total word
31700 romney 120901 obama
12498 mitt 23053 president
4078 romney’s 13637 obama’s
3685 santorum 8717 barack
2576 will 7710 court
2274 pennsylvania 6845 act
1857 gop 6353 michelle
1855 new 6180 one
1819 women 6090 will
1666 poll 5986 years
1662 video 5881 jobs
1572 like 5670 marijuana
1465 just 5641 white
1430 republican 5343 house
1320 says 5287 supreme
1267 now 5284 signs
1224 paul 5270 use
1215 campaign 5149 get
1214 one 5014 known
1207 win 4880 cocaine
1166 can 4857 teen
1050 election 4672 like
1029 rick 4455 law
1019 president 4335 budget
1006 get 4268 now
984 see 4060 set
975 primary 3972 just
962 time 3942 women
956 take 3481 rules
954 vote 3199 today

It appears that Pennsylvania is still holding out hope for Santorum.

The strong showing of marijuana and cocaine in Obama’s list can be attributed almost single handedly to one tweet that got retweeted 4004 times:

‘RT @WhatTheFFacts: In his teen years, Obama has been known to use marijuana and cocaine.’

And countless other times in mild variations.  To be clear, this topic was raised before the last election as well, as “has been known” really means “was mentioned by him in his autobiography written in 1995.”  So the excitement the tweet has now is, well, about 17 years too late…

Net net … Romeny needs to excite his followers to talk about him, not Obama, because in November, “Not Obama” will not appear on the ballot!

Twitter gets down with “Up with Chris Hayes”!

[Note: Since this post was published, I’ve done a more recent analysis of Up with Chris Hayes’s Twitter engagement.  You can see it here]

Last week, I looked at twitter engagement for the  Melissa Harris-Perry Show on MSNBC.  This week, I have a request to do the same for Up with Chris Hayes.

Let’s start with the Twitter action:

Tweets per hour for Up With Chris Hayes

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This is pretty much in keeping with what we saw with the MHP show — twitter activity really bursts during the show and falls off later on.  Chris’ # of tweets is lower than Melissa’s from a week ago, but comparing two different weeks isn’t totally fair.  If you compare the two shows, though, you’ll see that Melissa’s tweeple tended to retweet a lot more than the #uppers did. That alone accounts for pretty much all the difference in tweet volume.  Chris — toss out a few bon mots on twitter to get them going!

Still, there’s a lot of people (like, ahem, myself) who tend to sleep in a bit later than 8am on weekends… so maybe that’s the problem.  Some of us are more snoozers than uppers!

So who was Tweeting with Chris? Figuring out gender on Twitter is a bit rough (after all, on the Internet nobody knows you’re a dog), but here’s the estimated breakdown of the #uppers:

Gender breakdown of Chris Hayes' Tweeple

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For some reason, it makes me want a Pepsi. I must not use Excel’s default colors. Anyways, continuing on …

Past studies (well, from 2009 so that’s kind of dated) have indicated that Twitter users are 55% female, 45% male (and 0% dog 😉 ) so it appears that Chris is pulling strongly male.  I’d be curious to know what the ratings say about the show watchers.  MHP’s tweeple from a week ago were about 59% female, so that’s almost a complete reversal but more in keeping with the estimated Twitter population.

There wasn’t a lot of consistent hashtag usage (except for #uppers):

Click to see larger version

Given that there were approximately 6000 tweets on Saturday and Sunday, nothing managed to make it past 5% of the tweets.  The few #nerdland ones are interesting, but I’d have to look at a minute by minute breakdown to see if its a segue thing.

So, what were the most popular (re-)tweets?  Well, popular is probably not the right word here.  There were a very few tweets that showed up repeatedly:

total text
36 RT @Uncucumbered: Note to Tim Carney: Why do you never ask “If the government can mandate a vaginal probe, what can’t they do?” #uppers #nerdland #waronwomen
33 RT @lizzwinstead: If reading bills in annoying to you, maybe being in congress isn’t your thing. #Uppers
31 RT @MHarrisPerry: Today’s @upwithchris is taking on Health Care for the entire show. Tune in. This is important TV. #uppers
28 RT @chrislhayes: Why the commerce clause is beautiful: http://t.co/7wWRSFs7
22 RT @YouGottaVote: Akhil Amar is my hero; argues on fact, precedent and the Constitution…how refreshing!!   #uppers #ACA
21 RT @Lawrence: @chrislhayes Just watched your religion show of last week. Simply brilliant. Rewound to hear a few bits twice. #bestofmsnbc
20 RT @chrislhayes: On the point about whether the costs of Obamacare have doubled: http://t.co/trl72rPz
16 RT @mmfa: RT @ZieberKR: @chrislhayes on the “character assassination” of #Trayvon Martin “racial backlash is now at full tilt” http://t.co/GNJSQXDS
15 RT @upwithchris: Charts & graphs from this morning’s show on the Affordable Care Act: http://t.co/n8uRjBLL #Uppers #aca #hcr
11 RT @blythe75: The greatest trick Conservatives ever did was making Americans forget the state-rights side lost the Civil War. #uppers

36 tweets is barely over a half of a percent…  So was there a consistent theme to the tweets? Even there, not really — a very diverse conversation in terms of retweets and use of words.  Here are the most popular words used in the tweets:

Word Total Usages
show 421
just 379
care 314
carney 286
health 270
like 264
good 260
morning 257
now 238
right 230
people 229
tim 204
will 202
know 201
congress 193
great 185
time 172
go 171
us 170
need 168

A few people contributed a hefty number of tweets:

# of Tweets User
118 kwright39
107 EverleighWay
75 jdvanlaningham
68 Noe_Colon
66 sjdorst
62 therealpriceman
57 dapdaddy
56 RonniRN
56 betsyrsmith
51 newblackrepubli

Chris Hayes himself was tied for 118th place with 11 tweets.  Get tweeting, Chris!

What did I learn from all this? Both Melissa Harris-Perry and Chris Hayes have a vibrant group of Twitter followers who chat during the shows, but don’t really continue to chat much outside of the shows.  Whether MSNBC wants to have that dialog continue is unknown to me, but if they do, I have a few suggestions…

  1. Chris is using mostly the web for his tweets.  This means that the moment he enters a tweet they go live. A tool like Hootsuite would allow Chris to enter a batch of tweets and spool them out during the day — this allows for a continual presence on Twitter even while asleep or otherwise occupied.
  2. Conduct twitter surveys or other things that allow you to interact with the audience but deal with them in an aggregate way.
  3. Delegate, if that’s not already being done.  Again, Hootsuite is great for that kind of thing.
  4. Watch your usage and engagement.  Every tweet is like an advert, you need to watch the reaction to it to see what works and doesn’t.
Regardless, good show, and keep it up! 🙂

Methodology:

I searched for all tweets from Saturday 00:00 to Sunday 23:59 EDT with one (or more) of #uppers, @chrislhayes, or @upwithchris in the text.  The gender of the sender was estimated via standard analytical techniques. Every tweet is labeled with the software that sent it, and so it allows me to analyze usage of various software clients (such as I did for what software the senators are using).