Florida’s 18th congressional district is one of the more interesting races this mid-term year. The incumbent, Patrick Murphy, won his seat by defeating the highly controversial Allen West. But the district as a whole is not a strong one for the democrat, with most predictions seeming to put it at “lean” democratic.
That has generated a large number of GOP contenders who will face off in this month’s primary. For reasons that escape me, the GOP as a whole has not focused resources on this district, and the primary is still a large scramble. And there seems to be no recent polls, which makes it hard to know what’s happening.
We can look to Twitter to get a sense of what’s happening, however, and although it doesn’t give us a solid prediction, right away some things are obvious: